Latest position following the 22 July 2026 crane report — programme recovery, commercial impact, and forecast, in one place.
22 July 2026 report from MTX: Crane 1 can now be completed in 5 weeks, with no impact to the completion date or the overall forecast.
Beyond 5 August, further slippage begins to impact the completion date. The Option 1/Option 2 programme charts elsewhere on this site still show the previous dates — to be updated once the revised dates are confirmed.
Position on crane hire costs and the option-specific works required either side of the revised rig date.
Illustrative for a full 1-month delay beyond the 5 August rig date; scales roughly linearly for shorter or longer delays. This is additional real cost — separate from the cash-flow timing shift shown in the Forecast section below.
Cost to relocate 40 DDA bays, reinstatement and modification of the car park layout, and relocation of DDA spaces post-completion.
Cost to relocate shoreline chargers and provide temporary lighting in Level 1.
Bottom-line monthly cost and cumulative total, extracted from the 14 July 2026 cashflow forecast (P21-0015 — Women's Centre Upgrade). Figures exclude VAT.
| Month | Monthly total | Cumulative total |
|---|---|---|
| Apr-26 | £ – | £0.00 |
| May-26 | £ – | £0.00 |
| Jun-26 | £120,032.00 | £120,032.00 |
| Jul-26 | £610,859.76 * | £730,891.76 |
| Aug-26 | £806,202.31 | £1,537,094.07 |
| Sep-26 | £371,315.37 | £1,908,409.44 |
| Oct-26 | £191,851.79 | £2,100,261.23 |
| Nov-26 | £264,359.78 | £2,364,621.01 |
| Dec-26 | £236,638.10 | £2,601,259.11 |
| Jan-27 | £180,566.54 | £2,781,825.65 |
| Feb-27 | £270,942.89 | £3,052,768.54 |
| Mar-27 | £265,875.34 | £3,318,643.88 |
Cumulative is rebased to £0 at Apr-26 — it reflects spend within this 12-month window only, not the whole-project cumulative (which was already £1,455,400.00 by the end of Mar-26).
* As printed in the source forecast, the Jul-26 monthly figure (£610,859.76) does not fully reconcile against the stated cumulative movement for that month (which implies approx. £490,827.76) — flagging as an apparent inconsistency in the source spreadsheet rather than adjusting it. All other months reconcile exactly.
Whole-window summary only — the source forecast isn't broken down by VAT treatment on a month-by-month basis, so this reconciles the 12-month total rather than adjusting individual monthly figures above. The £726,681 accrual relates to FY25/26 and is excluded from this window's MTX net total.
The table above is net MTX spend. This chart grosses that same monthly profile up proportionally to the £3,303,925.18 total cash cost from the VAT position above (after removing the FY25/26 accrual), then shows what 1, 2, 3 and 4 months of slippage would do to it against a £3m reference.
The dashed lines are illustrative examples only, not a forecast: each shows the same cumulative total cash cost simply pushed back by 1, 2, 3 or 4 months — for reference in case time is lost somewhere in the programme.
| Scenario | Crosses £3m in |
|---|---|
| On programme (no slip) | Feb-27 |
| +1 month slip | Mar-27 |
| +2 months slip | Beyond Mar-27 — outside this window |
| +3 months slip | Beyond Mar-27 — outside this window |
| +4 months slip | Beyond Mar-27 — outside this window |
| Risk | Consequence | Likelihood | Impact | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No decision is made on crane location | Loss of expense claims. Rolling cost exposure on standing costs and preliminaries. | Medium | High | This is needed by 29 July. |
| No decision/approval on the oversailing tower under either option with current mitigations | MTX won't start works without approval. | Medium | High | Requires written approval. |
| Adverse weather | Stops crane operations. | Low | High | Works are being undertaken during the summer months. |
| Emergencies accessing the building under option 2 | Stops crane operations. | High | High | Mitigations are under MTX logistics planning. |
| Live load dropping as crane oversails tower of building | Death | Low | High | Mitigations are under MTX logistics planning. The crane subcontractor's risk register rates this as low likelihood. |
| Vibration/noise complaints | Loss of expense claims. Rolling cost exposure on standing costs and preliminaries. | High | High | Plan to undertake testing above non-critical areas to provide a suitable methodology that meets the parameters for NICU. |
| Roof not holding equipment weight | Damage/collapse/death | Low | High | A professional structural engineer has been appointed and has confirmed the roof capacity. |
| Fire evacuation needed in the building during the works | Loss of expense claims. Rolling cost exposure on standing costs and preliminaries. | Medium | High | Based on the current condition of the building and recent events, we are requesting confirmation from MTX that they will comply with the Trust fire evacuation plan, both during rig and de-rig and throughout the works. |
| Complaints on car parking under either option drive a decision to cancel the crane | Loss of expense claims. Rolling cost exposure on standing costs and preliminaries. | Low | High | Crane 1 will be there under the summer holidays, which we understand is lower car parking usage months. We understand this is managed by the transport team. |
| Fire brigade approval due to enforcement under option 2 | Loss of expense claims. Rolling cost exposure on standing costs and preliminaries. | Medium | High | The fire safety team has assured us that maintaining clockwise access by opening a second entrance, along with pedestrian access, will likely be accepted; however, the fire brigade needs to be consulted. |